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자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
최웅선 (건국대학교) 이용모 (건국대학교)
저널정보
서울행정학회 한국사회와 행정연구 한국사회와 행정연구 제23권 제1호
발행연도
2012.5
수록면
183 - 205 (23page)

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초록· 키워드

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Using Baumol’s model of unbalanced growth, this study has attempted to empirically analyze whether the rising costs of public services affects the increases in public sector spending. To this end, using a panel data of the 25 OECD member nations during the period from 1990 to 2010. we have estimated the effects of the increases in production cost of public services on the increases in public sector spending. As the analysis subjects, four areas of public spending were selected: education, health care, public order and safety, and social welfare. Feasible Generalized Least Squares were used in order to eliminate heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation observed in the first OLS regression. The main findings are summarized as follows. First. the per capita real wage growth was found to have significant positive (+) effects on spending on education, health care, public order and safety, and the growth rate of real expenditure in the field of social welfare. Also, the coefficients were seen to be high, suggesting that the impact of wage increases is very large. Second, the per capita real GDP growth was seen to have no significant effects on any of these spending, except on social welfare spending. And the coefficients were found to show values close to zero. In social welfare spending, the per capita real GDP growth was found to have significant negative (-) effects. This result seems attributable to the fact that. in social welfare spending. cash payments such as low-income cost of living support and unemployment benefits are included. In sum, these findings, as illustrated in Baumol’s model, support the claim that the rises in the costs of production of public services have large effects on the increases in public sector spending.

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Ⅰ. 서론
Ⅱ. 이론적 배경 및 선행연구 검토
Ⅲ. 분석 모형
Ⅳ. 분석 결과
Ⅴ. 결론 및 시사점
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